Assessment 3: Risks And Returns On Investment, Valuation Of Stocks, And Capital Budgeting Techniques

  Description  Formuals FMG OZL              
  Total assets (book value) ($m)     $       19,115.00  $         2,826.00   Recommendation:    On the basis of the calculations on both the stock of FMG and OZL. It has been found that the market value to book value, return on equity, dividend per share, sustainbale growth, intrinsic value etc of FMG is better than OZL. It explains that the invetsment into FMG would offer higher returns to the investors rather than investing into OZL.     
  Total liabilities (book value) ($m)     $         9,381.00  $            310.00      
  Number of shares (millions)     $         3,111.00  $            299.00      
  Market capitalisation ($m)     $       16,239.00  $         2,739.00      
  Net income ($m)     $         2,093.00  $            231.00      
  Dividends paid ($m)     $            755.00  $              42.00      
               
  Description  Formuals FMG OZL      
  Market value of equity to book vakue of equity ratio Market value of equity / book vakue of equity ratio  $                1.67  $                1.09      
  Return on equity Net profit / Total stockholder’s equity 21.502% 9.181%      
  Dividend per share Dividend paid / number of shares  $                0.24  $                0.14              
  Sustainable growth rate per annum Return on equity * (1- dividend payout ratio) 13.75% 7.51%              
  Intrinsic value Dividend (1+ growth arte) / (required rate of return – growth rate)  $            108.52  $                2.33              
                       
                       
Calculation of Net present value   Calculation of accounting rate of return      
                       
Year Cash outflow Cash inflow P.V. factor Present value   Year Cash outflow Cash inflow      
0  $ -25,00,000.00   1.00  $ -25,00,000.00   0  $ -25,00,000.00        
1    $ 5,00,000.00 0.93  $    4,67,289.72   1    $ 5,00,000.00      
2    $ 5,00,000.00 0.87  $    4,36,719.36   2    $ 5,00,000.00      
3    $ 5,00,000.00 0.82  $    4,08,148.94   3    $ 5,00,000.00      
4    $ 5,00,000.00 0.76  $    3,81,447.61   4    $ 5,00,000.00      
5    $ 5,00,000.00 0.71  $    3,56,493.09   5    $ 5,00,000.00      
6    $ 5,00,000.00 0.67  $    3,33,171.11   6    $ 5,00,000.00      
7    $ 5,00,000.00 0.62  $    3,11,374.87   7    $ 5,00,000.00      
8    $ 5,00,000.00 0.58  $    2,91,004.55   8    $ 5,00,000.00      
9    $ 5,00,000.00 0.54  $    2,71,966.87   9    $ 5,00,000.00      
NPV (Total cash outflow – total cash inflow)  $    7,57,616.12   ARR = Total profit / intial investment 20.0%      
                       
Calculation of Internal rate of return                
            the project should be accepted by the company as the net cash flow of the company is positive which explains about the profitability level of the company. further, the inetranl rate of return of the company is better than the cost of capital and lastly, the accounting rate of return also expalins about the better position of the company. thus, the project should be accepted by the company. 
Year Cash outflow Cash inflow Total cash flow    
0  $ -25,00,000.00    $ -25,00,000.00    
1    $ 5,00,000.00  $    5,00,000.00    
2    $ 5,00,000.00  $    5,00,000.00    
3    $ 5,00,000.00  $    5,00,000.00    
4    $ 5,00,000.00  $    5,00,000.00    
5    $ 5,00,000.00  $    5,00,000.00    
6    $ 5,00,000.00  $    5,00,000.00                
7    $ 5,00,000.00  $    5,00,000.00                
8    $ 5,00,000.00  $    5,00,000.00                
9    $ 5,00,000.00  $    5,00,000.00                
IRR 14%                  
                       
                       
                       
  Calculation of yearly return from Monthly returns          
                       
  Monthly average retun of security 4.05% -5.70% 5.29% 5.08% -0.95%          
  Number of days in a month 12 12 12 12 12          
  Formula (1+average return)^number of days -1          
              Average yearly return      
  Monthly return 61.04% -50.54% 85.58% 81.18% -10.85% 33.28%        
                       
                       
  Calculation of risk associated with the company                
                       
  Standard deviation 0.12479483                
                       
                       
                       
                       
  Calculation of yearly return from Monthly returns          
                       
  Monthly average retun of security 0.51% 0.51% -0.71% 1.04% -0.23%          
  Number of days in a month 12 12 12 12 12          
  Formula (1+average return)^number of days -1          
              Average yearly return      
  Monthly return 6.32% 6.24% -8.25% 13.25% -2.77% 2.96%        
                       
                       
  Calculation of risk associated with the company                
                       
  Standard deviation 0.033017796                
                       
                       
                       
                       
                       
Adj Close Return                    
5191.2     Calculation of total risk (FMG)            
4926.6 -5.10%       Comment            
4802.6 -2.52%   Standard deviation 12.48% STDEV of return            
5052 5.19%   Variance 1.557% Square of stdev            
5135 1.64%   Annualized variance 0.20375 (1+variance)^365 -1            
5218.9 1.63%   Annualized standard deviation 0.45139 sqrt of annualized variance            
5425.5 3.96%                    
5320.1 -1.94%                    
5352.2 0.60%   Calculation of total risk (AXJO)            
5190 -3.03%       Comment            
5404.8 4.14%   Standard deviation 3.30% STDEV of return            
5394.8 -0.19%   Variance 0.109% Square of stdev            
5489.1 1.75%   Annualized variance 0.01316 (1+variance)^365 -1            
5492.5 0.06%   Annualized standard deviation 0.11472 sqrt of annualized variance            
5395.7 -1.76%                    
5632.9 4.40%                    
5625.9 -0.12%                    
5292.8 -5.92%                    
5526.6 4.42%                    
5313 -3.86%                    
5411 1.84%                    
5588.3 3.28%                    
5928.8 6.09%                    
5891.5 -0.63%                    
5790 -1.72%                    
5777.2 -0.22%                    
5459 -5.51%                    
5699.2 4.40%                    
5207 -8.64%                    
5021.6 -3.56%                    
5239.4 4.34%                    
5166.5 -1.39%                    
5295.9 2.50%                    
5005.5 -5.48%                    
4880.9 -2.49%                    
5082.8 4.14%                    
5252.2 3.33%                    
5378.6 2.41%                    
5233.4 -2.70%                    
5562.3 6.28%                    
5433 -2.32%                    
5435.9 0.05%                    
5317.7 -2.17%                    
5440.5 2.31%                    
5665.8 4.14%                    
5620.9 -0.79%                    
5712.2 1.62%                    
5864.9 2.67%                    
5924.1 1.01%                    
5724.6 -3.37%                    
5721.5 -0.05%                    
5720.6 -0.02%                    
5714.5 -0.11%                    
5681.6 -0.58%                    
5909 4.00%                    
5969.9 1.03%                    
6065.1 1.59%                    
6037.7 -0.45%                    
6016 -0.36%                    
5759.4 -4.27% 1.47153772                  

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